Saturday, June 18, 2011

92E up to 60%, major weather cocnern

92E is gradually getting more organized. It is at 60% now, a tropical depression could form in a day or two. The waters are warm and shear is low, and the SHIPS model forecasts a hurricane out of this system.

There appears to be a major weather concern form Mexico. Heavy rainfall, up to 35 inches for that matter, is very possible along the Mexican coast.  As seen in Agatha last year, these rains could cause life-threatening  flash floods, and mudslides/landslides. Breezy conditions are likely as well. Up to $100 million in damage is possible, but I hope this does not happen.

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