Friday, June 19, 2009

TS Andres?

One-E is continuing to get organized and could be a Tropical Storm soon. This is what the NHC says.
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS
LOCATED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. WHILE NONE OF
THE GUIDANCE SHOWS STRENGTHENING...THE CYCLONE REMAINS OVER WARM
WATER AND THE SHEAR IS NOT STRONG ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE A SMALL
INCREASE IN INTENSITY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LAS ISLAS MARIAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO SOUTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST OR ABOUT
160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND
EARLY SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE
WILL BE NEAR LAS ISLAS MARIAS TODAY AND NEAR THE MAINLAND COAST OF
MEXICO ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. MOISTURE FLOWING
NORTHWARD FROM THE DEPRESSION COULD ENHANCE RAINFALL IN NORTHERN
MEXICO...THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...AND THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS.


Thursday, June 18, 2009

TD One-E

TD One_e is now here. I say 30% chance of forming into a Tropical Storm as it looks bad right now. The NHC says that it will make landfall in Mexico on Friday.