Saturday, August 1, 2009

Update

An area of disturbed weather off the Mexician Coast is producing disorganized thunderstorms. However, some slow development is still possible. Regardless of development, heavy rain and flash flooding is possible over the Mexican Rivera this weekend.

An area to watch

An area of disturbed weather located about 100 miles away from Mexico has gotten all flared op this afternoon. some further development is possible as it parallels the coast, though it will likely to be slow. Regardless of development, heavy rain and flash flooding is possible over the Mexican Rivera this weekend.

Montoring two areas

An area of disturbed weather near the Central America coastline remains disorganized. Development of this system is unlikely.

A second area of disturbed weather is over the Mexican Mainland and the Gulf of California. It looks impressive this morning. However land interaction will likely inhibit development. Regardless of development heavy rainfall could lead to flash floods and lightning over Texas, New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, California, and Nevada this weekend.
Note: This image is not mine

Confusion with Lana

There seems to be some confusion over whether six-E became One-C. The rule is that they retain its number or and its name when it crosses in the CPHC area of responsibility. However, the system received a CPHC name because it was named there.

Friday, July 31, 2009

Tropical Storm Lana

Yesterday the NHC noted that there was a chance that a tropical depression was forming. At 8 AM the NHC began issuing advisories on Six-E. Six hours later it became Tropical Storm Lana. Lana currently has winds of 65 mph.. The NHC thinks that this is its peak, but I think it will become a 80 mph hurricane and reach the WPAC as a 25 mph TD.