Sunday, August 9, 2009

TD is forming from 90E

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER-ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE FORMING. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. THE LOW IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH AND THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

Felica, 90E, 92C

Over the past 24 hours Felicia has weakened slowly and as of 8 AM winds are sustained at 70 mph and a pressure of 994 mb. Hawaii is now under a tropical storm watch. If it makes landfall in Hawaii it would be the first landfall there since 1993.
For the East Pacific 160W to North America.

The CPHC is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Felicia located 595 miles east of Hilo, Hawaii.

A broad low located some 800 miles SW from Cobo San Lucas (90E) has became better organized and a TD could form over the nest 48 hours.

A tropical wave located near Johnston Atoll has changed little in organization. Development of this system is not anticipated.

Another disorganized low is located South of Acapulco.