90E near Soccoro Island

Invest 90E has changed little in modernization. The systme is currently near Socorro Island. Up to 3 inches of rain and 30 mph winds are possible. However, the main threat will be the waves. Up to 25 foot waves are possible. Stay out of the water PLEASE.

90E is back, could we have 92E soon, Cookie cutter basin?

Invest 90E has came back once again. Some development is possible, but is no threat to land. 92C has changed little in organization, and no additional development is expected. There is another area of interest south of the Mexican coast, but strong wind shear is expected to prevent further development.

The EPAC has recently been reffered to as the "cookie curter basin". However, IMO they were several interesting storms since 2005. 2005 had Kenneth 2006 had Bud, Daniel, Ioke, John. Kristy, Lane, Sergio 2007 had Flossie 2008 had Boris, Hernan, Norbert. 2009 had Andres, Carlos, Felicia, Guillermo, Jimena, Rick, Neki. 2010 had Agatha, and Celia. Others disagree, saying that 87% of the storms since 2005 are boring. It shows that some people hate it and some people like it.

91E back over water, 92E and 93E could form in a few days

91E has moved back over water, but conditions are expected to become less favorable for further development. The rains should diminish over Mexico during the next few days. They are two other areas to watch. One is near Central America, However, significant development is not expected, but we could see this become 92/93E. Rain chances form in Coast Rica should decrease over the next few days. Waves action should decrease gradually. Another area is located far out so see. Surface pressure are low, but strong wind shear will likely prevent significant development.

91E moves inland unexepcty but heavy rains are probable, guess whos back

91E has moved inland somehow highly unexpectedly. however, Heavy rains up to 15 inches in the high terrain can cause deadly flooding and mudslides with severe damage. Sorry, ti the wrong time for you vacation. Up to $30 million dollars in damage is possible. There rain could persist for a while at least thorough Sunday night.

The motion of 91E was highly unexpected. It was expected to move NW and parallel the coast, so we thought high waves would be the threat. However, it unexpectedly moved NE and moved inland. This shows how little we know about tropical cyclones. It went off or on the extreme edge of the forecast cone. Too bad the NHC did not declare it a TD.

Guess whos back? 92C for the fifth time. However, additional development is not anticipated.

91E almost a TD, 92C is back

91E is getting better organized, and is almost a TD. Additional development is possible and a tropical depression will likely form within the next 24 to 36 hours. Also, 92c is back on the CPHC page, but additional development is not anticipated.

91E forms

Just when one area of interest dies, another one is born. 99E has formed! Some gradual development is possible over the next few days. Once again, waves are issue up the Mexican Rivera, but due to westerly path of the system waves will not be as dangerous than 90E or Estelle.

Estlle has died, 90E going poof

Tropical Depression Estele has dissipated. In addition, 90E has became disorganized. No Tropical cyclones are expected during the two days.

Estelle almost dead, 90E has formed

Good news for beachgores, Estelle is almost dead. It southerly course will take it the remains of Estelle away from California. Good news there. Estelle's winds are 35 mph. Dissipation is expected overnight.

However, 90E has formed near Socorro Island, which got some rain for Estelle a few days back, is some sing sing or organization. However, no significant development is expected do to some wind shear. The main impact on Socorro are heavy rain. Up to an inch of rain is possible and about a 10 inch water rise is expected. On Mexico, wave up to 10 are very likely once again. These can produce deadly rip currents, the worst part of a La Nina for Pacific hurricane impact. Unlike Estelle the main threat for waves are near Mantalazan.

Estelle almsot a depression

Estelle is steadily weakening. Winds are down to 40 mph, and dissipation is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours. Minor affects in california in the form of rain and high waves are possible. However, if it moves move towards the south the predicted, it would not approach the break in the ridge in which would allow it to recurve.

There is also an are of disturbed weather south of Estelle. However, the associated convection is poorly organized and minimal.

Estelle starting to weaken

Estelle is starting to weaken. Winds are down to 60 and will likley be down to 50 at 3 PM. It is moving away form Mexico and is no threat to land for the next few days. disspation is expect by Tuesday. However, in abou a week , the showers left of Estelle could affect California. The rest of the Pacific is quiet, bot area have dissipated, but squally weather is expect for the next few days.