Sunday, August 15, 2010

90E and ex-Dainmu could threaten California , El Nino?

Invest 90E appears to be fading, but is expected to turn Northeast and possibly bring some showers, but no significant rainfall is expected. The leftovers of Dainmu could also bring some rain and intensify the monsoon, not to mention the MJO moving over the area into the Atlantic

I personally think there is still El Nino. While the SST's in the Pacific are below normal, the shear levels in the tropcial Atlantic suggest otherwise. The amounts of shear is typical of a moderate El Nino. Average them to out we are in a weak El Nino

1 comment:

  1. YE, we are absolutely in La Nina. The SST anomalies in the 4 Nino regions say we are in El Nino. The shear is a side effect of El Nino, not a part of El Nino.The Shear, IIRC, is because of deadly ULL's. That statement is not factual and not credible.

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