Frnak pekaing in intesity

Hurricane Frank has peaked in intensity with wind of 90 mph. It is now down to 65 mph. Additional weakening is expected.

Hurricane Frank slightly stronger

Frank is slowly intensifying. Winds have been increased to 85 mph. However, further intensification...if any.. will be slight over the next 12 hours. A weakening trend is expected to begin as shear increases and Frank moves over cooler waters. However, the leftovers could move into Baja California in about a week. Some rain and tropical storm force winds are possible near Socorro Islands s this system make its closest approach to the island in a day or two.

Frank a hurricane at last

Frank is gradually intensifying an dis officially a hurricnae at last. some intensification is possible, and it could reach winds of 80 mph soon. IT is foretasted to peak as a 85 mph hurricane. It should be noted the Baja is in the cone of uncertainty now with heavy waves possible along the NW Mexico's coastline. 

Frank not intesifing

Frank has became according to the NHC "becoming less organized". Winds are at 75 mph (65 really), and this system could become a hurricnae at any time if convection reorganizes. Frank is no longer expected to impact land.

Frank almost a hurrciane

Tropical Storm Frank is moving away from Mexico for now. However, it has became better organized. Winds have increased to 65 mph, 10 mph shy of hurricane intensity. Expect hurricane status soon with an outside chance of major hurricane status as shear decreases. Although the watches have been dropped, heavy rains and up to 15 feet waves is still possible. It is forecast to turn back to the north, and could strike Baja California in about five days.

Frank weakens, but expected to reintesify

Tropical Storm Frank has weakened today down to 50 mph. However, re-intensification is expected. It could become a hurricane by Wednesday.

Frank maintaing it's intesity

Tropical Storm Frank is maintaining it intensity due to some wind shear. The CDO has dissipated, but shear could decrease soon allowing for some additional intensification. It is expect to become a minimal hurricnae near Baja California. There is a lot of uncertainty in the storms track. the GDFL, HWERF, GFS, and the some of the minor ensemble models take this system very near or onshore Baja. Hopefully, Baja Insider (the hurricane Baja California agency) will give a good update today. Another are of disturbed weather is located near Frnak, but development of this system is not anticipated. In other news, the have fowered a hurricane potential impact  scale towards Erick Blake according to the NHC webmaster.

Update

Year	E storm	F storm
1990	June 26	July 6
1991	July 15	July 29
1992 (most active year on record)	June 22	June 22
1993	July 15	August 7
1994	July 16	July 19
1995	August 1	August 7
1996	August 30	September 10
1997	July 12	July 14
1998	July 29	August 6
1999	August 6	August 17
2000	July 16	August 3
2001	July 20	August 6
2002	July 23	August 21
2003	July 10	July 17
2004	August 19	August 23
2005	July 18	August 9
2006	July 21	July 31
2007	Jul 31	August 7
2008	July 16	July 24
2009	July 29	August 3
2010	August 10	August 22

HTML Tables

The table above shows the formation of each particular storm. This years stats are in italics, with records in bold. This table includes storms since 1990 only. On average, the E storms forms in July with the F in August.

Frank begining to rapidly intesify

Frank is beiging to itesfy very quickly, and coud reac hurricae intesity in about 24 hours. Watches and warnings remain in effect. Heavy rainfall up to 3 inches and gusty winds are execpted.

9-E now Tropcial Storm Frank

Breaking News:Tropcial Depression Nine-E now Tropical Storm Frank. The effects mentioned below are the same. This system is over 90 degree waters, and could strengthen rapidly.

Nine-E stronger Eight-E is dead

Tropical Depression Nine-E has intensified slightly. Winds are at 35 mph, heavy rain and win are possible along the Mexican coast not to mention the strong waves. Tropical Storm watches remain in effect and could be upgraded Tropical Storm Warnings tomorrow. Some rapid intensification is very possible, and could become a hurricane in 48 hours. Meanwhile, TD 8-E has dissipated

TD Nine-E forms, Eight-E almost dead

The tropics are active one again.  What a difference a few hours can make. Tropical Depression Nine-E has formed. Winds are 30 mph, and steady intensification is possible. This system could produce heavy rain, up to 20 foot waves and gusty winds. As such, a tropical storm watch has been issued. Tropical Depression Eight-E is still a tropcial cyclone, but fairly weak. It is expected to die overnight.

TD 8-E on the verge of disspation, 93 E forms

Tropical Depression Eight-E has weakened as strong wind shear and cold water has taken toll on the system. Dissipation is expected later today. 93E has formed near the Mexican Coast. Conditions appear conductive fro some slow development.

Classic overnight RI for what now TD 8-E

Surprise. 92E has rapidly developed overnight and is now Tropical Depression Eight-E. Some slight intensification is possible, and this system could become a tropcial storm soon. However, additional intensification will likely be inhibited due to strong wind shear and cooler waters. Despite this, it is foretasted to become a tropcial storm Sunday night.

92E forms

Another area of disturbed weather (92E) has formed near the coast of Mexico. Some additional development is possible, bu the system is expected two move over cooler water.

Intresting Statistics

Year	E storm	F storm
1990	June 26	July 6
1991	July 15	July 29
1992 (most active year on record)	June 22	June 22
1993	July 15	August 7
1994	July 16	July 19
1995	August 1	August 7
1996	August 30	September 10
1997	July 12	July 14
1998	July 29	August 6
1999	August 6	August 17
2000	July 16	August 3
2001	July 20	August 6
2002	July 23	August 21
2003	July 10	July 17
2004	August 19	August 23
2005	July 18	August 9
2006	July 21	July 31
2007	Jul 31	August 7
2008	July 16	July 24
2009	July 29	August 3
2010	August 10	??

HTML Tables

The table above shows the formation of each particular storm. This years stats are in italics, with records in bold. This table includes storms since 1990 only.

Using the static maps you might be asking "We are not that behind at all". But remember that we have had only one named storm since July 1. It should also been noted that the GFS predicts a TD in about six days.

This images above shows the map of all storms this year. The tracks itself is normal for a La Nina year. The activity itself is what makes this season behind.

A year that has fallen behind, another area of intrest dies

This year sure  has fallen behind. It is truing into a Bust. I have never seen this many invests not develop, and the MJO has flipped so it is unlikely we will see anymore cyclones for a while. It could set the record for the latest "F" storm if we get no activity be early September. Even if  were are/were in an El Nino, the shear is prevent anything from developing. A this right, we might have the last active season on record. We are SEVEN DAYS from the peak. In our last La Nina (2008) we were up to "J" at this put. We were up to "G" the year before that. In a very strong La Nina in 2005, we were up to "I" at this time. In a moderate El Nina in 2003 we were up to "I". So were a two storms behind the La Nina average, and it is unlikely that we will get any activity for a few weeks. 2008 was up to "M" at that time and 2005 was up to "J". 2003 was up to "L" as well.  Or could the shear relax and make a late-season run. But in recent years September has been inactive, save 2005. So the more you look at it appears more and more likely that we will have a year below our prediction of 12-6-4. In addition, a La Nina has been confirmed

The area of interest that has been watched for a few days now has dissipated. Both tracking service agencies predict nothing. However, a tropcial wave did bring some light rain to Central America last night, but has dissipated since then.

Another area formes

Another area forms far from the Mexican coast. However, strong wind shear will inhibit development. The next name on the list is Frank.  However, THIS SEASON IS A BUST.

Area of intrest goes poof

All of the convection left has dissipated and thus no tropical cyclones are expected at this time.

90E dies, 92E could form in a few days

Invest 90E has dissipated due to cooler waters. It should also be noted that there is another area of interest out in the middle of ocean. Strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit development, but the system could become 92E soon.