Showing posts with label 2010 PHS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2010 PHS. Show all posts

Saturday, April 2, 2011

Closing 2010 recap

Finishing off 2010, the strangest thing happened. It's December 29, hurricane season is over, its the middle of winter for gods sake. In an area that has been devoid of activity through the year. Yet, 92C emerges into the EPAC and develops into Tropical storm Omkea. however, it dies the next day, but thats sure some surprise.

Sunday, October 31, 2010

fake season

Yea, this is a fake season I made. the EPAC season is over at this time.

Sunday, September 19, 2010

Comapring this year with other years

198815
198917
199021
199114
199228
199315
199420
199510
19969
199719
199813
19999
200019
200115
200214
200316
200413
200515
200619
200711
200817
200920
20106
Average14

96E and hurricane season outlook

96E has formed near Sinora today. Soem slow devlopment is posible and a tropical depression could form in abotu two days as it parrels the coast of Mexico. Heavy rains are possible as the system passes offshore. This system will likely strike Baja California in about three days.

This season appers to be ending at 6-3-2. However, the basin could become active once more in October. We say 8-4-3 when it is finshed.

Friday, August 27, 2010

Frnak pekaing in intesity

Hurricane Frank has peaked in intensity with wind of 90 mph. It is now down to 65 mph. Additional weakening is expected.

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Hurricane Frank slightly stronger

Frank is slowly intensifying. Winds have been increased to 85 mph. However, further intensification...if any.. will be slight over the next 12 hours. A weakening trend is expected to begin as shear increases and Frank moves over cooler waters. However, the leftovers could move into Baja California in about a week. Some rain and tropical storm force winds are possible near Socorro Islands s this system make its closest approach to the island in a day or two.

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Frank a hurricane at last

Frank is gradually intensifying an dis officially a hurricnae at last. some intensification is possible, and it could reach winds of 80 mph soon. IT is foretasted to peak as a 85 mph hurricane. It should be noted the Baja is in the cone of uncertainty now with heavy waves possible along the NW Mexico's coastline. 

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Frank not intesifing

Frank has became according to the NHC "becoming less organized". Winds are at 75 mph (65 really), and this system could become a hurricnae at any time if convection reorganizes. Frank is no longer expected to impact land.

Frank almost a hurrciane

Tropical Storm Frank is moving away from Mexico for now. However, it has became better organized. Winds have increased to 65 mph, 10 mph shy of hurricane intensity. Expect hurricane status soon with an outside chance of major hurricane status as shear decreases. Although the watches have been dropped, heavy rains and up to 15 feet waves is still possible. It is forecast to turn back to the north, and could strike Baja California in about five days.

Monday, August 23, 2010

Frank weakens, but expected to reintesify

Tropical Storm Frank has weakened today down to 50 mph. However, re-intensification is expected. It could become a hurricane by Wednesday.

Frank maintaing it's intesity

Tropical Storm Frank is maintaining it intensity due to some wind shear. The CDO has dissipated, but shear could decrease soon allowing for some additional intensification. It is expect to become a minimal hurricnae near Baja California. There is a lot of uncertainty in the storms track. the GDFL, HWERF, GFS, and the some of the minor ensemble models take this system very near or onshore Baja. Hopefully, Baja Insider (the hurricane Baja California agency) will give a good update today. Another are of disturbed weather is located near Frnak, but development of this system is not anticipated. In other news, the have fowered a hurricane potential impact  scale towards Erick Blake according to the NHC webmaster.

Sunday, August 22, 2010

Update

YearE stormF storm
1990June 26July 6
1991July 15July 29
1992 (most active year on record)June 22June 22
1993July 15August 7
1994July 16July 19
1995 August 1August 7
1996August 30September 10
1997July 12July 14
1998July 29August 6
1999August 6August 17
2000July 16August 3
2001July 20August 6
2002July 23August 21
2003July 10July 17
2004August 19August 23
2005July 18August 9
2006July 21July 31
2007Jul 31 August 7
2008July 16 July 24
2009July 29August 3
2010August 10 August 22

The table above shows the formation of each particular storm. This years stats are in italics, with records in bold. This table includes storms since 1990 only. On average, the E storms forms in July with the F in August.

Frank begining to rapidly intesify

Frank is beiging to itesfy very quickly, and coud reac hurricae intesity in about 24 hours. Watches and warnings remain in effect. Heavy rainfall up to 3 inches and gusty winds are execpted.

9-E now Tropcial Storm Frank

Breaking News:Tropcial Depression Nine-E now Tropical Storm Frank. The effects mentioned below are the same. This system is over 90 degree waters, and could strengthen rapidly.

Saturday, August 21, 2010

Nine-E stronger Eight-E is dead

Tropical Depression Nine-E has intensified slightly. Winds are at 35 mph, heavy rain and win are possible along the Mexican coast not to mention the strong waves. Tropical Storm watches remain in effect and could be upgraded Tropical Storm Warnings tomorrow. Some rapid intensification is very possible, and could become a hurricane in 48 hours. Meanwhile, TD 8-E has dissipated

TD Nine-E forms, Eight-E almost dead

The tropics are active one again.  What a difference a few hours can make. Tropical Depression Nine-E has formed. Winds are 30 mph, and steady intensification is possible. This system could produce heavy rain, up to 20 foot waves and gusty winds. As such, a tropical storm watch has been issued. Tropical Depression Eight-E is still a tropcial cyclone, but fairly weak. It is expected to die overnight.

TD 8-E on the verge of disspation, 93 E forms

Tropical Depression Eight-E has weakened as strong wind shear and cold water has taken toll on the system. Dissipation is expected later today. 93E has formed near the Mexican Coast. Conditions appear conductive fro some slow development.

Friday, August 20, 2010

Classic overnight RI for what now TD 8-E

Surprise. 92E has rapidly developed overnight and is now Tropical Depression Eight-E. Some slight intensification is possible, and this system could become a tropcial storm soon. However, additional intensification will likely be inhibited due to strong wind shear and cooler waters. Despite this, it is foretasted to become a tropcial storm Sunday night.

Thursday, August 19, 2010

92E forms

Another area of disturbed weather (92E) has formed near the coast of Mexico. Some additional development is possible, bu the system is expected two move over cooler water.

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Intresting Statistics

Year E storm F storm
1990 June 26 July 6
1991 July 15 July 29
1992 (most active year on record) June 22 June 22
1993 July 15 August 7
1994 July 16 July 19
1995 August 1 August 7
1996 August 30 September 10
1997 July 12 July 14
1998 July 29 August 6
1999 August 6 August 17
2000 July 16 August 3
2001 July 20 August 6
2002 July 23 August 21
2003 July 10 July 17
2004 August 19 August 23
2005 July 18 August 9
2006 July 21 July 31
2007 Jul 31 August 7
2008 July 16 July 24
2009 July 29 August 3
2010 August 10 ??

The table above shows the formation of each particular storm. This years stats are in italics, with records in bold. This table includes storms since 1990 only.

Using the static maps you might be asking "We are not that behind at all". But remember that we have had only one named storm since July 1. It should also been noted that the GFS predicts a TD in about six days.

This images above shows the map of all storms this year. The tracks itself is normal for a La Nina year. The activity itself is what makes this season behind.