Finishing off 2010, the strangest thing happened. It's December 29, hurricane season is over, its the middle of winter for gods sake. In an area that has been devoid of activity through the year. Yet, 92C emerges into the EPAC and develops into Tropical storm Omkea. however, it dies the next day, but thats sure some surprise.
Showing posts with label 2010 PHS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2010 PHS. Show all posts
Saturday, April 2, 2011
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Sunday, September 19, 2010
Comapring this year with other years
| 1988 | 15 |
| 1989 | 17 |
| 1990 | 21 |
| 1991 | 14 |
| 1992 | 28 |
| 1993 | 15 |
| 1994 | 20 |
| 1995 | 10 |
| 1996 | 9 |
| 1997 | 19 |
| 1998 | 13 |
| 1999 | 9 |
| 2000 | 19 |
| 2001 | 15 |
| 2002 | 14 |
| 2003 | 16 |
| 2004 | 13 |
| 2005 | 15 |
| 2006 | 19 |
| 2007 | 11 |
| 2008 | 17 |
| 2009 | 20 |
| 2010 | 6 |
| Average | 14 |
96E and hurricane season outlook
96E has formed near Sinora today. Soem slow devlopment is posible and a tropical depression could form in abotu two days as it parrels the coast of Mexico. Heavy rains are possible as the system passes offshore. This system will likely strike Baja California in about three days.
This season appers to be ending at 6-3-2. However, the basin could become active once more in October. We say 8-4-3 when it is finshed.
This season appers to be ending at 6-3-2. However, the basin could become active once more in October. We say 8-4-3 when it is finshed.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Frnak pekaing in intesity
Hurricane Frank has peaked in intensity with wind of 90 mph. It is now down to 65 mph. Additional weakening is expected.
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Hurricane Frank slightly stronger
Frank is slowly intensifying. Winds have been increased to 85 mph. However, further intensification...if any.. will be slight over the next 12 hours. A weakening trend is expected to begin as shear increases and Frank moves over cooler waters. However, the leftovers could move into Baja California in about a week. Some rain and tropical storm force winds are possible near Socorro Islands s this system make its closest approach to the island in a day or two.
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Frank a hurricane at last
Frank is gradually intensifying an dis officially a hurricnae at last. some intensification is possible, and it could reach winds of 80 mph soon. IT is foretasted to peak as a 85 mph hurricane. It should be noted the Baja is in the cone of uncertainty now with heavy waves possible along the NW Mexico's coastline.
Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Frank not intesifing
Frank has became according to the NHC "becoming less organized". Winds are at 75 mph (65 really), and this system could become a hurricnae at any time if convection reorganizes. Frank is no longer expected to impact land.
Frank almost a hurrciane
Tropical Storm Frank is moving away from Mexico for now. However, it has became better organized. Winds have increased to 65 mph, 10 mph shy of hurricane intensity. Expect hurricane status soon with an outside chance of major hurricane status as shear decreases. Although the watches have been dropped, heavy rains and up to 15 feet waves is still possible. It is forecast to turn back to the north, and could strike Baja California in about five days.
Monday, August 23, 2010
Frank weakens, but expected to reintesify
Tropical Storm Frank has weakened today down to 50 mph. However, re-intensification is expected. It could become a hurricane by Wednesday.
Frank maintaing it's intesity
Tropical Storm Frank is maintaining it intensity due to some wind shear. The CDO has dissipated, but shear could decrease soon allowing for some additional intensification. It is expect to become a minimal hurricnae near Baja California. There is a lot of uncertainty in the storms track. the GDFL, HWERF, GFS, and the some of the minor ensemble models take this system very near or onshore Baja. Hopefully, Baja Insider (the hurricane Baja California agency) will give a good update today. Another are of disturbed weather is located near Frnak, but development of this system is not anticipated. In other news, the have fowered a hurricane potential impact scale towards Erick Blake according to the NHC webmaster.
Sunday, August 22, 2010
Update
| Year | E storm | F storm |
| 1990 | June 26 | July 6 |
| 1991 | July 15 | July 29 |
| 1992 (most active year on record) | June 22 | June 22 |
| 1993 | July 15 | August 7 |
| 1994 | July 16 | July 19 |
| 1995 | August 1 | August 7 |
| 1996 | August 30 | September 10 |
| 1997 | July 12 | July 14 |
| 1998 | July 29 | August 6 |
| 1999 | August 6 | August 17 |
| 2000 | July 16 | August 3 |
| 2001 | July 20 | August 6 |
| 2002 | July 23 | August 21 |
| 2003 | July 10 | July 17 |
| 2004 | August 19 | August 23 |
| 2005 | July 18 | August 9 |
| 2006 | July 21 | July 31 |
| 2007 | Jul 31 | August 7 |
| 2008 | July 16 | July 24 |
| 2009 | July 29 | August 3 |
| 2010 | August 10 | August 22 |
The table above shows the formation of each particular storm. This years stats are in italics, with records in bold. This table includes storms since 1990 only. On average, the E storms forms in July with the F in August.
Frank begining to rapidly intesify
Frank is beiging to itesfy very quickly, and coud reac hurricae intesity in about 24 hours. Watches and warnings remain in effect. Heavy rainfall up to 3 inches and gusty winds are execpted.
9-E now Tropcial Storm Frank
Breaking News:Tropcial Depression Nine-E now Tropical Storm Frank. The effects mentioned below are the same. This system is over 90 degree waters, and could strengthen rapidly.
Saturday, August 21, 2010
Nine-E stronger Eight-E is dead
Tropical Depression Nine-E has intensified slightly. Winds are at 35 mph, heavy rain and win are possible along the Mexican coast not to mention the strong waves. Tropical Storm watches remain in effect and could be upgraded Tropical Storm Warnings tomorrow. Some rapid intensification is very possible, and could become a hurricane in 48 hours. Meanwhile, TD 8-E has dissipated
TD Nine-E forms, Eight-E almost dead
The tropics are active one again. What a difference a few hours can make. Tropical Depression Nine-E has formed. Winds are 30 mph, and steady intensification is possible. This system could produce heavy rain, up to 20 foot waves and gusty winds. As such, a tropical storm watch has been issued. Tropical Depression Eight-E is still a tropcial cyclone, but fairly weak. It is expected to die overnight.
TD 8-E on the verge of disspation, 93 E forms
Tropical Depression Eight-E has weakened as strong wind shear and cold water has taken toll on the system. Dissipation is expected later today. 93E has formed near the Mexican Coast. Conditions appear conductive fro some slow development.
Friday, August 20, 2010
Classic overnight RI for what now TD 8-E
Surprise. 92E has rapidly developed overnight and is now Tropical Depression Eight-E. Some slight intensification is possible, and this system could become a tropcial storm soon. However, additional intensification will likely be inhibited due to strong wind shear and cooler waters. Despite this, it is foretasted to become a tropcial storm Sunday night.
Thursday, August 19, 2010
92E forms
Another area of disturbed weather (92E) has formed near the coast of Mexico. Some additional development is possible, bu the system is expected two move over cooler water.
Wednesday, August 18, 2010
Intresting Statistics
| Year | E storm | F storm |
| 1990 | June 26 | July 6 |
| 1991 | July 15 | July 29 |
| 1992 (most active year on record) | June 22 | June 22 |
| 1993 | July 15 | August 7 |
| 1994 | July 16 | July 19 |
| 1995 | August 1 | August 7 |
| 1996 | August 30 | September 10 |
| 1997 | July 12 | July 14 |
| 1998 | July 29 | August 6 |
| 1999 | August 6 | August 17 |
| 2000 | July 16 | August 3 |
| 2001 | July 20 | August 6 |
| 2002 | July 23 | August 21 |
| 2003 | July 10 | July 17 |
| 2004 | August 19 | August 23 |
| 2005 | July 18 | August 9 |
| 2006 | July 21 | July 31 |
| 2007 | Jul 31 | August 7 |
| 2008 | July 16 | July 24 |
| 2009 | July 29 | August 3 |
| 2010 | August 10 | ?? |
The table above shows the formation of each particular storm. This years stats are in italics, with records in bold. This table includes storms since 1990 only.
Using the static maps you might be asking "We are not that behind at all". But remember that we have had only one named storm since July 1. It should also been noted that the GFS predicts a TD in about six days.
This images above shows the map of all storms this year. The tracks itself is normal for a La Nina year. The activity itself is what makes this season behind.
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